— Insights
Data-first analysis. No hot takes.
Short, evidence-led write-ups drawn straight from the tools we build — every number reproducible in the tool itself.
EURUSD Thu 12:30 is quiet 15% of the time. Here's why.
127 of 832 Thursdays at 12:30 UTC were calm on EURUSD. Why the number isn't zero, and why the tool marks this cell DST-ambiguous.
Read →Four XAUUSD reaction records fell in four weeks
Fed, GDP, NFP, CPI: four US macro events between June 17 and July 14 each broke the largest 15-minute XAUUSD reaction on record, by 1.74x to 2.33x. What the data shows, and what it doesn't.
Read →How to check what a release does to your pair
Every scheduled release has a track record. Here is how to read it in News Impact Explorer, panel by panel, using NFP on gold as the worked example.
Read →What actually happens to EURUSD in the 15 minutes after NFP (and the next five days)
195 releases, sorted by surprise, measured from 15 minutes out to 5 days. The story isn't drift. It's asymmetric: beats mean-revert, misses hold, in-line does nothing.
Read →Why your backtested win rate doesn't survive contact with real news events
Some of your backtested wins and losses came from news flow that had nothing to do with your setup. Here's how much, and how to filter it out.
Read →The Bloomberg terminal problem: why institutional edge on macro events was never available to retail
The pros really do have data you don't. Here's exactly what it is, why the gap stayed open for so long, and why it's finally closing.
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